box office

Predicting the Highest Grossing Films of 2018

It feels weird to say this but we’re officially at the midway point of 2017 (still sticking to your resolutions?), and we’ve seen a variety of blockbusters succeed (Wonder Woman, Logan) and fail (Baywatch, The Mummy). There’s still a lot more films to look forward to in the second half of this year. At the beginning of this year, I made a list of my top 10 most anticipated films, and six of them still haven’t been released! So why am I making this list so prematurely? Two reasons: one, I like to look at this list as a sort-of time capsule, and see how my predictions about the box office change over time; and two, I’m just bored. Really, really bored. Here are my (way too early) predictions:

Some honorable mentions that didn’t make the list are: Rampage, Deadpool 2, Black Panther, Ant-Man and the Wasp, and Mission Impossible 6.

10. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 – $670 million

Release date: November 21

Hopefully the mouthful-of-a name isn’t detrimental to its box office success, because there is a lot of hype behind this movie. The predecessor came out in November 2012, and ended up grossing just over $470 million worldwide. With a similar date in 2018, and little competition (besides Illumination’s Grinch reboot), there is no reason to believe the sequel will expand on the first’s superb outing.

9. Ready Player One – $680 million

RD: March 30

I might be heavily overestimating the outing of this blockbuster, but I truly believe this will blow away records. This movie has a lot going for it: Steven Spielberg is at the helm, John Williams is scoring it, and its based off a successful book. However, if this film has a poor word of mouth, it might get decimated at the box office. I remember thinking Tomorrowland was going to be a smash hit, and then it opened to poor reviews.

8. untitled Bumblebee standalone film – $730 million

RD: June 8

I am actually worried about the Transformers franchise. Audiences have suffered enough from the terrible Bay movies, and the fifth one is looking to be no different (the sixth one might fare differently). So far, the cast and crew hired to make this project look promising, but I don’t necessarily think this one will have as much firepower as the main series. Still, it’s looking to gross a hefty profit, given that the budget is reasonable.

7. untitled Fantastic Beasts sequel – $750 million

RD: November 16

The lowest grossing Harry Potter film has grossed $796 million worldwide, so a $750 million figure could be an underestimate. However, I’m predicting that the Fantastic Beasts sequel will decline a bit, based off of the Internet’s lukewarm reception to Johnny Depp’s casting as Gellert Grindelwald. Of course, that’s probably just a minor representation of the majority of Harry Potter fans, so take this $750 number as the floor for the film.

6. Aquaman – $790 million

RD: December 21

All DCEU movies so far have made bank at the box office, and it won’t slow down with Aquaman. While probably considered a joke in the past, this iteration of Aquaman looks like the textbook definition of bad ass. The December release date for this film is looking to exploit the holiday, and early-January lull that Star Wars and Avatar did. In addition to its strategic scheduling, it’s director, James Wan, has proven himself as a great director.

5. A Wrinkle in Time – $810 million

RD: March 9

Here’s a great book that’s finally being adapted to the big screen, barring the 2003 TV version. I might be heavily overestimating the box office potential for this film, but Disney has had heavy hitters in the spring for the past 3 years, with the likes of Beauty and the Beast, The Jungle Book, and Cinderella. Those all crushed, and its likely this film will too.

4. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom – $950 million

RD: June 22

Jurassic World blew every expectation out of the water, and grossed a jaw-dropping $208 million in its first weekend. There’s no way that its sequel reaches those numbers, for two big reasons. The first is that Jurassic World had nostalgia going for it. Granted, the first poster for Fallen Kingdom invokes nostalgia with Jeff Goldblum’s famous quote prominently featured, but I digress. The second is that summer 2018 is extremely crowded with blockbusters, and families would have already spent a ton at the theater by the time Fallen Kingdom releases.

3. untitled Han Solo film – $970 million

RD: May 25

Speaking of the summer, here’s a heavy-hitter. The Han Solo movie doesn’t have much going for it. Even ignoring all the director and on-set troubles, there’s one glaring issue with this movie: no one wants to know Han Solo’s origin. But again, it is Star Wars, so people will go out and see it. All things considered, it could be considered a disappointment. Disney, it’s time to call Ewan McGregor.

2. The Incredibles 2 – $1.05 billion

RD: June 15

No words needed to describe this one. It’s probably the only Pixar movie that deserved a sequel, and after 14 long years, the nostalgia is prime and ready. Families will hit up theaters in droves.

1. Avengers: Infinity War – $1.24 billion

RD: May 4

As much as I’d like to see all the films on this list, if I could only see one in 2018, it has to be Infinity War. This movie has been set up for 10 years now, dating back to release of Iron Man. Nerds, like me, will probably pay to see this movie multiple times at the theaters. Its ensemble cast is unprecedented, boasting the names of the biggest on-screen heroes. ‘Nuff said.

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